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Trouble in the Caucasus: sanity? too much to hope for (updated x 2)

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In one of my previous diaries, I described an earlier confrontation involving Russia, Georgia, and Abkhazia (a breakaway republic that tries to secede from Georgia). Now, that one, over a Georgian flying robot getting shot down, ended up with nothing after some huffing and puffing... however, now things got much nastier in the vicinity of another chunk of Georgia that is trying to secede - South Ossetia, where it actually came to a shooting war with dozens of people hurt or killed.

However, in a startling recent development, Georgia's president Mikhail Saakashvili has announced a unilateral ceasefire and major concessions to South Ossetia. What could this mean?


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